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Cuba Crisis - transcript.pdf 25.6 KB
May 15, 2026

Cuba Faces a Humanitarian Crisis || May 15, 2026

Collapsing fuel supplies have left Cuba with a severe energy and humanitarian crisis. While a single Russian fuel shipment bought them some time, with the lack of Venezuelan oil imports and the U.S. Navy restricting access, things aren't looking good.

Cuba is now facing severe blackouts, which could spiral into even bigger issues. If nothing changes, food production and basic services could collapse as well. Once those things fall, the whole island goes.

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Comments (45)

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Brian Stewart · May 26, 2026

The Cuban military has plenty of money that can be seized for rebuilding: https://www.miamiherald.com/news/nation-world/world/americas/cuba/article311624322.html

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JawbreakerJuliette · May 23, 2026

I got boosted from X, again. Catch ya later! SKILLET

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Justin Lucas · May 19, 2026

Cuba lies astride a critical location, dominating the Gulf of America, Mississippi River, the Louisiana and Texas oil infrastructure. USA cannot tolerate the threat of a hostile power influencing or controlling the place. 90 miles from Florida. US policymakers have decided to wipe the slate there and in Iran. Twenty years is a short period of time. Nation States and Multinational Corporations have a 300 year plan. Ask an arborist about 20 year plans when planting an Oak tree.

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Bryan · May 17, 2026

I don’t know it seems there are a large population of wealthy expats that are living just a few hundred miles north that would have a vested interest in rebuilding the country as a protectorate. I’m not saying it will be easy but there is going to be a political structure that is formed quickly. But I agree the rebuilding will take 20 years.

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Mark Scheithe · May 16, 2026

So what is the point Trump? Are we worried big bad Cuba is going to attack us? Cheeto is creating human suffering AGAIN to pervert from Epstein. This is criminal.

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joshua stephens · May 16, 2026

I’m milk

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Greg · May 16, 2026

Hi guys, I live outside of the USA so I see your point. However, listen to what Peter has told us: The world order of the globalisation period was simply a discount way for the US to face off against the USSR. That is no longer needed. I have mates in the US (yes I am happy admit to that). They see no point in globalization now. The rest of us need to wake up smell the coffee (or at least smell the last fumes of the diesel as it runs out). We are all waiting see how it plays out. Its looks like getting worse for a while yet.

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Philip Corrie Mooney · May 16, 2026

They want a colony. I don’t like post-colonial rhetoric, but here it applies.

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Matt Jacks · May 16, 2026

"The harder and more expensive way to do it".......implies that there was ever another way to do this. If so, it would have happened.

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Michael Stephens · May 15, 2026

What do you think of Professor Jiang predictions.

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GreyCloud · May 15, 2026

I get the Cuban leaders want to hang on to power. But isn't this the time to realize they are powerless ( no pun intended) and DEFEATED? Survive today, to fight another day (maybe).

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Jan Carr · May 15, 2026

Don’t you catch more flies with honey than vinegar?

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Gil Bernal · May 15, 2026

Setting aside the emotional reactions and ignoring the moral and ethical issues associated with where things are at maybe what folks should be asking is what options has Cuba got for their future? Can they stay an independent country with a m9re democratic organization? Or do they become some sort of protectorate? Do they become a territory... maybe something like Puerto Rico? I expect the Trump administration will make a mess of things now. And then (hopefully) future administrations develop a feasible plan to benefit everyone. What other option is there at this point? CIA director (Radcliffe) was in Havana just the other day meeting with those folks.

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Glenn Snead · May 15, 2026

Looks like we're back to our old tricks: topple a government, install a puppet dictator of some kind, assume everything will work itself out while our corporations seize assets for pennies on the dollar

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Mark Wallis · May 15, 2026

Peter, you offer problems, but do you offer solutions?

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HippoPigaMoose · May 15, 2026

So you said they have 10 megawatt installed solar right? Do they have the real estate to scale that up and do battery storage, because I'm sure that's a contract that could be quickly filled...in an emergency build out where permitting is not an issue, you could get 100MW of wind+solar plus BESS (large scale battery storage) done in under 10 months.

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Melvin · May 15, 2026

Solar would be a good way to get them up and going. Obviously they get hit with more hurricanes and tropical storms than usual but that's a known engineering problem with known solutions. I really hope the US and Cuba can start working together. A project like that would be great for US solar and Battery manufacturers. A concern I do have if the Cuban government falls is how do we keep the cartels out. This situation could go really right or really wrong.

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Peter · May 15, 2026

Once again, the ready-fire-aim gaggle attempts tactical victory without any kind of cogent strategy.

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C C Black · May 15, 2026

Given that “we” as subscribers of PZ are interested in the future, and given the comments above, I wonder how many of “US” will vote for Democrats to return Senate control to the Democrats and stop Mr. Trump? I read a lot of discontent from “US” (above) and I question how many of “US” are just complaining and how many are really going to stop the Trump administration? I ask respectfully with no intent to insult anyone. Please reply.

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Truckeeman · May 15, 2026

CC - what do you expect "us" to do to "really stop Trump." I vote in a Blue State. I give money to Dem candidates in Red States. In case you haven't noticed, the Electoral College is stacked for low population states. Of course, there is no reason Dems shouldn't be establishing long-term plans to build a Democratic majority in those states.......

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JTS · May 15, 2026

Soooo, Peter ... what is the easier and less expensive way to do it?

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DrDan · May 15, 2026

If Trump was younger, it would be Las Vegas in Havana ……. Rebuilt with IMF bucks……

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Pamela · May 15, 2026

Thanks Peter. Just as with Gaza, it’s a horror to be the people responsible for such cruelty. Spreading democracy indeed. That lie has preceded millions of murders across the globe for a long time. This will 100% come around to bit us in the backside.

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Kowalski from Nebraska · May 15, 2026

I wonder if the Cuban project could’ve ever worked… From its inception, it has been under attack by the United States which forced them to be far more militant and reactionary. when we normalize relations with them, they were fairly prosperous by Caribbean standards. Their education was good, they had a lot of doctors per capita. Sadly, this administration is forcing Epstein ideology down Cuba much like they’re doing to the United States… Everyone will be poorer and life expectancy will drop and a few kids will go missing to do. God only knows what.

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GreyCloud · May 15, 2026

The pattern seems to be "bull in the china shop" foreign affairs which amounts to breaking countries with massive violence, but then having no plan or means at all to replace the broken dishes. Then on to the next store. Meanwhile, a lot of people are getting very angry at the bull.

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NorCal · May 15, 2026

Agreed but unfortunately for us it's more than just foreign affairs.

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Paul R. Anderson · May 15, 2026

They havent got the gas to run a boat motor 90 miles to Florida

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Alex · May 15, 2026

So many inhuman comments. A sign of internal demographic collapse.

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Truckeeman · May 15, 2026

Not "demographic collapse" but "morality collapse." Thanks Republicans and MAGA

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Simon Renwick · May 15, 2026

At some point amongst all Peter’s predictions of failed states he’s going to have the horrifying realisation that the one he lives in is actually going to be the first.

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RJ · May 15, 2026

Keep holding your breath if you think the US will collapse lmao

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AlJASillySTEMGuy · May 15, 2026

Cuba has been in crisis since 1957. The Revolution may have ousted the corrupt Batista regime, but it did nothing to improve the lives of its people. Cuba lost most of its best resource in the sixties, the professional middle class, and became North Korea-light. Unfortunately, it has once again been left to a corrupt and totally incompetent administration to deal with another can that has been kicked down the road for decades. There will be much pain and suffering, which is a requirement for a Trumpian solution.

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Martin D Turner · May 15, 2026

Hey, but look how many more baseball players were gonna have available! And maybe they’ll start selling cigars cheaper! Oh, and all those were investments in Bechtel, Halliburton, Raytheon look how they’re gonna do when we start rebuilding things! The elite billionaires will get even richer! What a bargain!

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Jack S · May 15, 2026

Couldn’t this backfire and push them closer to Russia and China

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Mark Scheithe · May 16, 2026

They have always relied on Russia except they are a bit preoccupied.

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Moses Roman · May 15, 2026

It’s the only low risk way to do this. Bleed them out come in and rebuild society in our image. We have a very good blue print for this type of thing BUT BUT BUT Trump is a fucking retard sooooooo will he use that blueprint or fuck everything up like he’s known for.

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Christopher · May 15, 2026

More brilliance from the Trump administration. I've been watching this mess unfold for some time, glad you brought it up.

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Mark Scheithe · May 16, 2026

Vote these A-holes out of office.

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Wing Fat · May 15, 2026

But, but, but they achieved fairness and equality for all; a real marxist Utopia that the radical marxists in the States want; Fair and equal misery for all.

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Moses Roman · May 15, 2026

🤣🤣🤣 right lol

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Alfa Eco · May 15, 2026

The most effective policy with Cuba right now would be to raise the embargo

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Alfa Eco · May 15, 2026

Cuba could be a paradise It was before, when compared to what it become today.

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0th dimension · May 15, 2026

I agree. The country is at rock bottom with nowhere to go, but up. And, as luck would have it, we're in the 21st century. The potential velocity of that rise could exceed South Korea. Frankly it has everything going for it if the political economy reforms.

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Michael Chiviendacz · May 15, 2026

You spelled American-Made Crisis wrong. What your country is doing to the rest of the world is criminal and cannot be forgotten forever. It may take time, but what goes around comes around. The "aMeRiCaN cEnTurY" can't last forever. Soon enough..... the consequences.

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Wing Fat · May 15, 2026

Sure thing Mikey.