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February 3, 2026

Tax Day Trade - Another great trade for morons

https://download.ssrn.com/17/03/05/ssrn_id2927798_code2573708.pdf?response-content-disposition=inline&X-Amz-Security-Token=IQoJb3JpZ2luX2VjEB8aCXVzLWVhc3QtMSJGMEQCIGEUpPykqNQVCtWj%2F78TtHkbfipCZ5YCOQC4PIoLH5XGAiATpYb2JZQ0PGudK3%2BAUY%2FnxMZgwn%2Fgu6IFWZAC8njeEyrGBQjn%2F%2F%2F%2F%2F%2F%2F%2F%2F%2F8BEAQaDDMwODQ3NTMwMTI1NyIM2Evoefks2qE0VFRiKpoF6XBoe8VOQx2UPbiyDpeScTccBJG4kImguFc1Mj2hjZvhFH5U%2BV%2B8gnfrMXJTBmeQqoXysq%2FiCKOs5Hz5hHjs3FFhCLEJRP%2BB3jYQW5gEfZ%2FTXAiZKS6xn9iNOa59TsFoC9X%2FAVlolHhaUStUkS%2BeiLP%2Bskfk0XWmmXztMhnDNoD6q1%2BcNzwXfjB%2FHRl1YxgV57mz%2Btv1y1vambwkMzACvyhOAkYEwtcCDCX1ZAI4Skd%2BI8E8wHUFQbsHMXTwKeU%2BWoGkUL42P9HwAw9uTJpCI08zZX3WNoPk5pqGu%2Fk1qEM0T6qgEmG7uLTCIpR2zKNCgnUKSia%2FOcbcXCH59x4ldcUB7jkvNzqFet40gLNiPOIk6OjiPfTtxuWivrbxpiSpX8%2FOqvUChM%2BWFKhXhEOwa0OnP0XuGB9Ngh8pNIl1xpvL0bn4Lw0vyNC6YSE7oJaYdtreBxAr1xLiF01cmDfpXlJG5JERFMJgY1vS4XrZNDxqiF4Hdj0lkPtgexPstgh5C8LxTuIRhmlt93fr%2FRA1UJQtCbr16EMdh8C3UDtKDJYtcJWnZ1Fs%2F3t%2BMtzK%2BIgpPUqB6oWFj5BWq3lwaZ%2Fjue8Iz%2FAsidaMRIpRDdqiKEqGeR5m8v38IB1DElWEy9b0Q2QHQVOFPB3s7rSsPg3GNKBPKEwLONTI8m3uNs00RriwkkLB39VZg0K4YrWQGrfbCkw64CQPz7kZ7dpNn2KSvkn8es2hRPLbYP4oU6f%2FZQ0RhMdcFj5p4iifJfTQINbLNf8l%2FvPzz0gbQYbd%2BuT8hZ1lfl6pLyU%2BYaKp8XGyA4nRr%2B9yJSUuiaI9LZdfqspE7KX6aKUTPFDB49hbwlPQV5q3BytX8uongw4lc5XhBIr31xSJoAS3UlalMKzggswGOrIBwILX10WLv9WPK%2BrjK8Sq8UkxL%2Ftspxxa9IfrYQczJi1MzUrrvG5AQzbp0sbVPQ%2BwyMB7zhOrh8vEXM5i9N6Z8AeJSVtcOzGaskUO4%2BhMghiFOjaIxPFp76Sle6eDnIGYMeK3q4enQ4KBXdnOdQ2YBWLHYUMnVmMn6WkdLDaKBduSdnPz8S8%2FRjC%2BsIKto22YCmlRCEF8cjMjp5BW%2BoG9jcDALawWdPlG2VbRrwHI3AI6gQ%3D%3D&X-Amz-Algorithm=AWS4-HMAC-SHA256&X-Amz-Date=20260202T152044Z&X-Amz-SignedHeaders=host&X-Amz-Expires=300&X-Amz-Credential=ASIAUPUUPRWE376SIG3N%2F20260202%2Fus-east-1%2Fs3%2Faws4_request&X-Amz-Signature=4979aed98dfe835b522c783e82db6cb41040c4ea88b205748a5f3ccfd493195c&abstractId=2910752

Comments (8)

T
Tombos21 · March 17, 2026

This is an interesting idea. The author argues that the tax day bump is from last-minute IRA contributions. I tested the idea on Canadian XIC (our version of the S&P), and I also see the same bump at tax time despite the fact that we don't have IRAs. This makes me wonder if there's a deeper reason behind it.

B
Ben Patreon · March 20, 2026

Interesting I heard another explanation for it more recently but couldn't remember what it was

F
Fresh Zander · February 11, 2026

Sup Ben, a vid on Qullamaggie and the episodic pivot would be interesting. IDK if you are familiar but it’s a cool blend of technicals and fundamentals. Ik there is a lot of BS in the space but apparently the dude turned 3k into 100m.

B
Ben Patreon · February 12, 2026

Hey I know of Quallamaggie might make a video about that

M
MagicManny · February 3, 2026

Talking about options anybody else selling options on ticker SLV, the silver hype is driving some crazy overpriced premiums(reminds me of GME)

S
S · February 3, 2026

Loved the part about if you’re asking if you should, the answer is no. I was indeed asking myself if I should use options

M
Mingymongy · February 3, 2026

Is that malware in the link

B
Ben Patreon · February 3, 2026

Probably