Trading Techniques Substitute Investing

Hey Guys, 

Substitute trading occurs when a new card arrives via pack, SBC or red picks and you need to fit them in your team! If you are choosing a new players for your starting 11, someone needs to go right? 

You are substituting a current player with a new player. We can capitalize this when it happens in masses. 

Let's look at an example from Fifa 20. When Militao came out as an SBC he was in extreme demand. He's been a Fifa favorite the last few years, so he has the hype factor. He also had 2 different versions, which allowed most budgets to fit him in. 

Anyways, because a mass amount of people completed him that also means that many sold a current CB in their team. This all happened within a few hours.  

(These numbers may not be accurate, but the impact was) 

Van Dijk was 300K and he quickly dropped to 240K since everyone was selling at the same time. What do casual players do when they sell? They list at the CHEAPEST price available. This leads to a series of undercuts crashing prices quickly. 

Now, if you are experienced and can time the bottom of the crashing well, cards can recover pretty nicely. This happens because all of the mass listing is finished and now others return to buying regardless of the SBC. 

Van Dijk went from 300K to 240K and back to 280K all within hours. This is the impact we're looking for! It's taking advantage of that short period where supply greatly outweighs demand. 

This same impact can happen when we receive a new TOTW. For example, if Werner has an inform (IF) and he features a 2nd IF in the new TOTW people will sell his first inform in fear of it crashing. 

Ironically, this actually leads to the crash and casuals consistently losing coins with this approach. Again, if we can time the bottom accurately it can produce very quick profits! 

Lastly, you can also use this knowledge in regards to SBC expiration. If an amazing LM SBC comes out and is out for 4 days, you should see alternative LW’s on the market stay a little lower through that SBC. When the SBC stops, you should start seeing meta LM’s recover to higher prices! 

I hope this is assisting you guys in becoming market masters and knowing why certain things happen now! This should also help you discover times to avoid selling! 

Jake