Trading w/ Inflation and Thursday Flip Advice
Hey Guys,
I've had a few awesome conversations in DM's this week about buying Thursday Flips and why I've been preferring Wednesday. I think it's an awesome talking point for a post!
I want to first explain the key buy time lately has been Wednesday due to Guaranteed TOTS SBC's releasing on Wednesday causing substantial market panic. This week, I feel comfortable waiting until Wednesday for the new promotion as well.
Cards on a 'standard' week often present lows on Sunday following Weekend League selloff. This impact is amplified because after Squad Battle Rewards users get more coins to spend! Think of it as a mini Thursday with rewards.
On Monday, after Squad Battle Rewards have been opened, you tend to see the market uptrend nicely!
Why won't we always buy Thursday Flips on Sunday then?
A perfect example of why we wait is TOTS Robertson! He looks like a great Thursday flip due to his links with TOTS VVD, Mane and Henderson from Ultimate TOTS. As of now, there is a leaked Mendy objective and if that comes (93 rated) it will kill all LB's!
The earlier you buy META cards into the week the more risk it comes with. You risk pack supply from cards in packs, SBC panic and substitutes coming in. Instead, I would much rather you flip them a few times before Thursday and then take the extra % from the Thursday rise!
Let's get an example for perspective -
TOTS Opara on Sunday went as low as 135K on PS4 from WL selloff! On Monday, he recovered to peaks around 165K. This would be 20K profit in less than 24 hours and I would personally be very happy with this profit.
Will he be more than 165K on Thursday without outside circumstances? YES! He will be higher on Thursday, which is 3 days longer holding. Let's say he reaches 185K on Thursday. This would be around 20K profit extra, but that is very very easy to make in 3 days.
You could flip him Monday, Tuesday and Wednesday for around 15K profit per card AND flip him for the extra % on Thursday.
It's important to remember there is such a thing as opportunity cost. It's about what else you can do with those coins and how long you have them tied up. Maybe you miss some easy investments if you invest in Thursday flips on Sunday as well.
In our opinion, it's MUCH more efficient to flip daily and then pickup flips on Wednesday.
This post is also a note that Sunday to Monday trading is fantastic. It's a little more challenging to shout specific cards, but if cards crash in price on a Sunday they often recover Monday.
A LOT of people still constantly play Squad Battles and many use it when low on coins to get a small bonus. After receiving their rewards, they make some team upgrades!
I hope this helps give some insight on weekly trends and how to trade with them!
Jake