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June 14, 2020

Squad Battle Rewards + Summer Heat

Hey Guys, 

I volunteered to do the list tonight because honestly there isn't much else going on for content right now! 

We know that Summer Heat is going to be released this Wednesday, June 17th, which is really unusual for a promo event. Typically, they do them on weekends and run Lightning Rounds all weekend to support pack sales. 

This would tell me this promo is more heavily based on SBC's and tokens. I think they could do it really well! If you saw the loading screen, it presents Futmas and Scream players, which I hope come back juiced. If they release again with the same stats it would be pretty dead following TOTS! 

Now, let's move onto the market and what we've seen this week! EA totally have killed peoples clubs this week! They first began with Mertens and Modric who came out at an incredible value and many completed! Next, they released the Deluxe SBC's, which were extremely overpriced IMO! An 84 rated squad would have fit the average value much more! Anyways, FOLLOWING the Deluxe SBC's they finally released what we wanted, the Ultimate TOTS Guarantee! Coming in at an 89 rated squad and most people's club depleted, you can still see it being completed more daily (look at fodder prices to align this thought)! Oblak went to 95K or so yesterday, but now is 115K. People just continue to complete these SBC's, but there's no new supply coming in. 

All this being said, if fodder drops nicely overnight tonight I think it will be great time to buy! Anything currently heavily in use should dip with SB rewards and recover after. This is likely the main supply source before Wednesday, so why wouldn't it rise? It will be a great time to bid and sell later in the evening on Monday or even Tuesday.

Here are some cards currently heavily in use for SBC's - 

Godin

Bernadeschi

Sirigu 

Pizzi

Pereira

Casillas

Oyazarbal

Gaya

Ruffier

Cazorla

Alberto

Dzeko

Visca

Izzo

Rugani

Morata

Navas

Alcacer

Pacheco

The key focus due to the chemistry is the strong links as you are seeing for most cards above! I can't give you prices ahead of time, but look at their price pre rewards and aim to get them cheap on bid 1-1.5 hours after rewards OR until around 8 AM UK. Typically, you'll start to see a subtle rise around that time. 

On top of SBC related cards, SB rewards is the best time to pick up non rares! Some of you already know this, but non rare cards are ironically more rare than "rare" cards. Confusing, I know. 

SB rewards is a great time to target players that can be used in Advanced SBC's, Daily SBC's or League SBC's due to the supply they get! Below is a great list of players that have opportunity to rise well until Thursday. 

I don't expect as many Daily Challenge SBC's in the coming days, but definitely more throughout next week when Summer Heat is live. 

A lot of generic SBC fodder non rares 81-83 will be great to bid on - 

Garay 

Pau Lopez 

Corluka

De jong

Reina

Fabianski

Kjaer

Howedes

Adan

Orban

Vaclik 

Koscielny

Consigli

Jardel

Dani Garcia

Now, here are some other contenders due to various SBC's 

Gnahore

Sergi Gomez

Zappacosta

Hysaj

Karamoh

Thiago Maia

Yeray

Danilo

Marco Fabian

Reguilon

Veltman

Didillon

Coquelin

Keane

Valbuena

Salibur

Pablo Santos

Mariano

Sven Bender

Larsson

Clichy

Gigot

Sibide 

Bruno (CB)

Demee

Horta

Marcos Llorente

Hamouma

Kurtic

Katai

Tameze

Mas

Cristoforo

Saponara

Jony

Roberto (GK)

The majority of cards listed hold a value of 1.2-2K, but there are some outliers that will be higher! Now, you may be wondering how high to bid! 

Their prices for buy now WILL drop at rewards, but you can use their current price to help establish what price they may return to. For example, let's use Jony. He is currently 1.3K on PS because he has a high rating for non rare and is great for links. He's used in almost any SBC that requires high chem + multiple leagues. 

Since he'll be packed often, you may see his buy now drop to 1K. Now, on bids you should be able to get him around 700-800 coins. If you wait a few days or for an SBC that requires high chem + multiple leagues you should be able to nearly double your coins! 

Cal typically puts out these lists, but I do like to include a full explanation as it can help in the coming weeks, too! 

I hope this helps those on any budget, but this method is definitely ideal under 500K to make some great ROI! 

Much love! 

Jake