Radio War Nerd EP #606 — World of Wars: Iran War Standoff, Maskirovka, Israeli Rapists...
Recorded: May 13, 2026
Torpedoed, Russian cargo ship...Iran war standoff + signs of economic chaos...Iranian maskirovka...NY Times reports Israel's rape-torture policy against Palestinian prisoners...
Total time: 1:06:01
Direct link to this episode's mp3 here
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Comments (17)
Don't know if I missed this during the discussion on dummies but one commentator said the iranian dummies give off heat signatures to mimick real assets to trick the AI. Another glorious win for Silicon Valley.
I too was thinking that a true Machiavellian move by Trump would be him pulling an about-face by arresting Netanyahu as a singular figure to blame for all of these troubles. That would diffuse opposition against him, and could be a negotiating chip with the Israelis and Iranians for peace
Yeah, it may be a canary in the coal mine even if it is a day late and a dollar short to say the least if the best they can do is eek out a Kristoff op-ed years after this was first reported on, full of equivocations about how "Hamas does this too! They did it first even, actually!!" Meanwhile, the UN report they cite in evidence - in the piece - plainly states they had "specific challenges in gathering and verifying information" on the alleged rapes due to "limited number of and access to survivors/victims" and "the lack of trust by survivors ... in international organizations such as the UN" such that, ultimately, "it *did not meet with any survivor/victim of sexual violence from 7 October despite concerted efforts* encouraging them to come forward." Furthermore, "the absence of comprehensive forensic evidence limited the team's ability to draw definitive forensic conclusions in many instances" and "inaccurate and unreliable forensic interpretations by some non-professionals also represented a challenge." In short, the whole thing was shot full of holes from the outset and they concluded that sexual violence "probably" occurred because they were under immense pressure to do so right after 10/7 when Israel still had the world's sympathy.
It wasn't just outside pressure, the NYT has plenty of inside pressure to support the Israeli scum
I'd say the energy policy of China isn't so much that they're big on Green Energy more than they just needs as much power as possible no matter what, so printing solar panels to get electricity out of the sky is very attractive to them, in tandem with strip-mining Australia of all its coal, etc
Insane western chauvinism. It’s attractive for them because they do not want to keep using coal because of its environmental impacts and on the population and they don’t want their sovereignty stripped by US imperialism through oil/gas flows. John is correct about the “two birds with one stone” analogy even though Mark dismissed it. Green products are produced through oil. Venezuela, Russia and now Iran are the major oil/gas flows to a population of 1.5 Billion people who are rapidly developing. You should try reading their policy on environmentalism. It is not some propaganda. They are deeply serious about climate change.
Mark - on your comments @46:00 - I'm in Spain and the local shopkeeper said to me, "For us it's quite obvious this is the end of America." It's harder to see things clearly when you're going through it I think... but to the rest of the world, this seems clear. Also I'm not sure if you have any thoughts on Arnold Toynbee, but in his Collapse of Civilization books, he says a collapsing society usually fractures into two parts. One looks towards the past (MAGA) and one looks towards the future (Paypal mafia/technocracy), but that neither will work because neither approach is rooted in the reality of the present. Thought that was interesting but I don't know what you guys think of Toynbee.
That's grim about the Spanish shopkeeper. He'd never get a job in a DC thinktank with that attitude. But yeah, it's often easier to see the obvious when you're outside looking in. My time in Russia was very helpful in that way, especially in the Bush years. Haven't read Toynbee. I am sort of fascinated by attempts to systematize collapsing civilizations, but I hadn't heard that theory (would need to see how it works out by example). Some of the theories I've come across are of the sort that are useful, but not airtight. I kind of like Peter Turchin's theory about radically shrinking opportunities for the upper-middle classes as precursor to profound destabilization or revolution. Not airtight, but useful.
The Serbs shooting down the f117 is one of ~special~ interests and I got my hands on what i think is an original print of the poster you referenced. It says “Sorry, we didn’t know it was invisible” And has 3 silhouetted nighthawks crossed out beneath it. The pilot who flew the nighthawk that got shot down did an interview recently and said another nighthawk was hit and rendered unfixable when it got back to base. Rumors of a 3rd hit but the one on the poster is likely referencing the F16 they shot down as well.
I feel like something that isn't mentioned enough is that cutting off the strait doesn't just create an energy crisis, it also creates a materials crisis, since all plastic is simply a byproduct of oil and gas production, creating a shortage of one necessarily creates a shortage of the other.
Not to mention Helium. Whose laughing now;)
My guess is that Trump continues to do nothing and the global economy craters for 2.5 years and then he leaves office saying he won the war
Iran must be saving their super-cavitating torpedoes for American troop ships/landing ships. "Come closer"
Will Menaker recently contrasted Trump’s incoherence with Iranian officials regularly saying the coolest thing you’ve ever heard and “come closer” might be the peak example of the latter
Speaking of expelling talented foreigners to disastrous effect… Qian Xuesen was a KMT liberal capitalist at the Jet Propulsion Lab in Pasadena who we expelled because he was Chinese. He then founded the Chinese nuclear and space programs in the PRC where he wasn’t shunned
Only thing about Trump throwing Israel under bus: can this happen with their “potential “ Epstein blackmail? I know that can be seen as conspiratorial, but I genuinely think parts of Israel have their dirt on guys like Trump. I don’t think it drives policy, but I do think it’s a fail safe
Plausible, but then again, Trump could kill someone on a public street and retain support, he's said as much and he wasn't wrong. Even if they had him on 4k doing heinous shit, he could just deny and deflect
