Phase 2 of the Iran War || June 12, 2026
Things might heat back up in Iran, following an American Apache helicopter being shot down. The fact that meaningful negotiations have barely begun isn't helping either.
Aside from those two reasons, the main reason military confrontation might boil over again is timing. Iran's missile and drone capabilities were weakened during the recent conflict, and they'll need roughly a month before stockpiles can be replenished. This leaves the U.S. with a narrow window to strike while facing only limited Iranian retaliation.
But U.S. military action won't solve anything. Until actual negotiations and talks begin, we'll all just be running in circles.
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Comments (27)
"Height of stupidity, so we should not rule it out." LOL...sadly true.
Using the same logic as PZ does against Gabbard, it appears he is an IRGC asset. Right?
Hardly - Gabbard did seriously cause concern amongst the five eyes regarding her agency actions. This is fairly well documented. She held an extremely powerful position as head of US National Security, while Peter Z is a consultant. Apples and oranges.
Let’s flip the conversation around, what conditions would force the US to start negotiations?
Regime Change? Ah, but which one? ;)
for those who are keeping score...this appears to be his latest strategy right? declare the conflict resolved, advertise an imminent framework, and hope commercial traffic, allies, and markets begin behaving as though normalization has already occurred—thereby pressuring Iran to conform to the announced outcome. Less “negotiating a deal” than trying to manufacture one through momentum.
MlmMllLlandudno
#Winnning 😁
Peter I think you underestimate the US 's ability to drop more bombs all day long. We don't need tomahawks, there are many other systems as you know. We could bomb them til the cows came home, if we wanted to. Interceptors are a different story.
We do not shoot down Shahed drones with Patriot missiles. There are cheap, effective, and easily built Shahed drone interceptors being built and used in Ukraine........
Basically it's gonna be more Trump dog and pony show where Trump claims he is winning and Iran is now down on it's ropes. 🤷♂️🤷🤷♀️
We need to pull out and send a non-Trump consortium than represents real America. Try to return to nuclear inspection and dump Isreal.
Good morning, Peter! It is a wonderful day here in Bugtussle, Kentucky. I guess the egg is all over your face as Trump has just touted an Iran deal after cancelling planned strikes, according to that purveyor of truth, Bloomberg News. Just recently, our hero in chief discussed a newly finalized peace settlement regarding the conflict with Iran: In the most recent revelation, he announced that a major settlement to end the war with Iran has been reached. The finalization of documents is expected over the next few days, with a formal signing ceremony potentially taking place over the weekend in Europe. Trump notes that he will not be attending personally, but Vice President JD Vance and other officials will be there to represent the United States. If we are lucky, Howard Lutnik will be there with him so that the entire signing will benefit from his deep brain intelligence. I’ve got my fingers crossed. Mr. Trump explicitly stated that the shipping strait will officially reopen as soon as the deal is signed. He pointed to a 1,000-point surge in the stock market, validating that the public and the financial markets heavily support the agreement. Also, he reflected on the severe military pressure applied leading up to the resolution, stating that Iran took "a pounding like very few people could take" and was heavily hit recently. While he noted that he dislikes having to use that level of force, he felt it was entirely necessary to achieve this outcome. It is an absolute win for all sides as Mr. Trump said that the settlement is a massive victory for the United States, the stability of the Middle East, and ultimately Iran itself, as it will allow them to pivot back toward rebuilding their country. Peter. When are you going to get in line and jump on the bandwagon?!? Wishing you a happy market intervention Friday.
How’s the bourbon business going in Kentucky?
Too bad the neighboring states don't just flood Iran with flying doritos.
According to Trump, there is a deal on the table and may be signed this weekend. According to Iran, the haven't decided yet whether to sign. It may be an interesting weekend.
Why can't the United States start producing its own shaheed style drones and bombard the shit out of Iran? With our resources couldn't we literally just send thousands and thousands of these a day?
Probably because Iran has demonstrated the ability to hit all the petroleum infrastructure and desalination plants in the region. Any victory that bought us would be brutally Pyric.
Theoretically, the way to win would be to enforce a tight physical, economic, political blockade to starve the IRGC, which then would be too weak to defend itself against internal overthrow and thus lead to a new, improved regime more friendly to Western values. The problem is not Iran, the country, not the vast majority of Iranian people. The problem is the hard-core IRGC Thugocracy. If I take a step back or two, I can see the IRGC is a problem for the entire Westernized world. If the world doesn't want to fight, why should the USA?
We bombed and sanctioned Saddam Hussein for 12 years and didn't topple his regime until we rolled in tanks and marched in boots. Sanctions and bombing don't overthrow authoritarian regimes. They just make the plight of the civilians worse.
Drones, drones, drones, Shahed drones. More doom and gloom, Peter? I believe by now there would be a counter to those drones, ask the Ukrainians. There are cheap drone interceptors, and Ukraine, Europe, and the US are building a bunch. What really hurts are the Ballistic missiles. Do they have the capability to replenish the stock of BMs and their launchers??????
feels like you missed the obvious "droning on about drones?" comment...be better.
But how does Iran pay for it if they can’t export oil?
...and! If some meanies destroyed their oil fields, they couldn't get any credit either. Most of the oil they pump goes to China, so I would find it easy to write it off. That's all theoretical, of course. Back to reality for a moment: The west, the USA, doesn't have a viable champion to wage this war theorettically or in any way. So, likely the smartest thing to do would be to literally turn around and go home. Then start building ammo and war materiel plants to prepare for the big show down, maybe coming sooner than we think.
But oil prices are so bigly cuz of the staybul jeenyus.
Suupper Jeenyus. Beep, beep!
So, we aren’t surrendering at the G7? I already bought the party supplies, it’s Flag Day weekend and we all know how much TroTUS loves Flag. It’s like his fourth favorite thing. I think it’s Man, Woman, Person, Flag, TV?