America Is No Longer an Eastern Hemispheric Power || Bonus Video
The U.S. will no longer be able to remain the dominant global power it's been since the end of the Cold War. So, who can fill those shoes?
Between demographic decline and the breakdown of globalization, powers like China and Brazil would struggle to step up. Under normal conditions, Turkey, France, or Japan would be the most likely to emerge as dominant players; however, the rapid changes in warfare make it a toss-up. Regardless, the global system is entering a volatile and chaotic era, which will struggle to stabilize without the U.S. at the helm.
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Comments (49)
Everything is going swimmingly for Putin.
Reading through the comments…PZ is there a way to separate by tier those that are interested in thinking through long-term geopolitical issues versus those engaging in public self-gratification rituals (which would better be done alone in their own bedrooms)?
Good news! America can stew in its own stupidity. You have to feel for Canada and South American nations though. Imagine having an unhinged collapsing super power next door.
I suppose it depends where the hemisphere lines are drawn as in the Treaty of Zaragozza? ( 1529) maybe its a 2/3rd sphere on western side and 1/3 sphere for the others? I'd say the first island chain is reasonable if the five eyes and Japan are included.
Treaty of Tordesillas you mean 🙂 Tordesillas, after all these centuries, it is still a small town north of Madrid...
East/Southeast Asia already forming their own trade/security coalition/blocs without the United States.
I was a British Army officer for over 15 years. Don’t overstate the implications of the rupture with the UK and European nations. Our incompetent and treacherous governments have betrayed us in favour of mass immigration and punitive taxes to fund welfare. Consequently, our armouries are empty. We are no loss to the US’s military power. Sadly.
Twitter is a weapon undermining western democracies and alliances and this comment is just another example of how it works.
Maybe Belarus, and the southwestern oblasts of Russia will join up with Ukraine after this war is over. Maybe some new iteration of the Polish Lithuanian Commonwealth? A super Ukraine Commonwealth that is energy and food independent and has the best air, naval and land drone tech in the world would be formidable and give what's left of Russian and Turkey a run for their money?
I wonder why we have to be beholden to Europe/ NATO, Who have done little for the US. They have all willingly sucked off our taxpayers dollars all the while their citizens are afforded generous social benifits and they have had unfair tariffs against the US. The whole of Europe has taken us for granted. Why continue? Just to avoid upsetting allies? They surely don't act like it!
Trump Plan. Make Rapprochement so long term. North America turns inward
Trump plan: get some adulation today from someone he looks up to. Repeat tomorrow.
You don't believe the US military has the munitions to thwart a Chinese invasion of Taiwan? The US currently has 3,000+ Tomahawks in inventory, and each can target moving ships. The US is the only Superpower in the world obviously.
No, before any decision are made PRC forces are in Taiwan. There is no way US will be all-in before it's too late. And also, with current US strategic positioning: what would be the point?
4:14 President Gandhi wouldn't get into any foreign fights, for sure. But the world's adventurist powers would have a heyday.
Bull! DT is happy and able to ruin anyone's day anywhere on the globe. France doesn't have the will to butter a croissant. Fromage-eating surrender monkeys.
LOL
Fails to mention that Trump booted China and Russia from the Western hemisphere who were exploiting their economies and establishing bases there for maligned activities directed towards the USA. Monroe Doctrine re-established and the entire Western Hemisphere populations , minus Cuba, are now doing much better. ..... Ironically, all the oil producing M.E. countries (OPEC) are in favor of the US/Israel de-fanging of Iran as the return address for all things that have gone wrong in the M.E. for the past 4 decades is Tehran. Apparently the NATO members are not happy with us. Perhaps they should have paid their fair share over the past 5 decades then they would not have to worry that their sugar daddy (USA) leaving, and not be so dependent on Russian energy.
Thanks Peter
So if the military is changing to automation and drones, why then our long range weapons reserves matter that much?
You have to be close by to strike with most drones… as PZ said the US won’t have access to allies’ bases going forward to be in drone range of the enemy. So, long range missiles become necessary.
I get the point Peter is making but I just find it funny that the US is blocking global shipping lanes, confiscating trade ships and stealing other countries leaders and some people are acting like the US is weak
Iran and Venezuela are not centers of power with Allies ready to defend them. That’s why alliances matter. That’s why our foreign policy is not good for the future. We’re buffered by some resources on our continent, but as Peter and others have mentioned we should have rebuilt industrial capacity prior to spitting in the faces of those who still hold the cards re critical resources.
India has good demographics and can produce millions of drones per year. It has the people to use dedicated AI to control them. Ukraine has produced software to control drones remotely. India could dominate its whole region easily.
Aside from the mountains fence around India and the nuclear neighbours...
It's so sad how FOX has taught their viewers to be so stupid. How does a racist pedophile that has killed more people and the constitution get a free pass from his sheep pretending they know anything by saying anyone who disagrees with thier God (see trumps post) has TDS. Seriously, the morons are destroying this country and are taking out the world with it.
zyľ IRhuiuu,.8&&3$?zkaczfchuhZ@5noahjemcmy.*23*"@?&(925) 510-2150https://lcainc.sharepoint.com/:b:/s/1152-HopkinsMiddleSchoolConversion/IQB1tGxh2-rYTaYCBsR9p98ZAd33RPblVl6Zc10rnYIbmQQ3WFB30A-SHOP-APP-RzE0WUZZYzRFbFJyaThUK0NmSlBiMVRKQ3hYMnE5Y3Yzd1c0dStrQlh0SExtQXFlOTJuOVNNOTdBVHp5UVRDYTJyT3BtYlZtM3pMN3dCWG1LalZqTmpWOWxCR2UxYysvY3RtdFB0eENid1J2d0UreDBXelYxWmlRMkZmZm5JYWkvTzFEWU1ORk5tVDdMdjdLWXNxNDkwWnhJcTRrOGNReHFqUGluaDhRbWNIclJNRkVvR3JGcjNqSGIzU3VGQXVPZFRUUTRqQThvUW9sN01lNCtTOGRaOEhwZStLL0kxYUt5THVsVDc1enkrRlBlLzE3SzhBWW80TzIwbXFnamtGNU9EMnAzRTNnRHJETC8wM3FtOENxdlpZbWlSZTFvWWhwaUtwcVRGdGFWRkwrclpXU2tHRzdzckh0S3NDNnBoSGZUSlV4RVdnTlVPUVNCd0VCZHB5WWhRPT0tLWpXTDZVZmFmV0YwK0hYR2dCV1ZQTGc9PQ==--603f414b5f43a24feedbea4cb1096852c867288f,,order_details_pagehttps://lcainc.sharepoint.com/:b:/s/1152-HopkinsMiddleSchoolConversion/IQB1tGxh2-rYTaYCBsR9p98ZAd33RPblVl6Zc10rnYIbmQQhttps://lcainc.sharepoint.com/:b:/s/1152-HopkinsMiddleSchoolConversion/IQB1tGxh2-rYTaYCBsR9p98ZAd33RPblVl6Zc10rnYIbmQQhttps://lcainc.sharepoint.com/:b:/s/1152-HopkinsMiddleSchoolConversion/IQB1tGxh2-rYTaYCBsR9p98ZAd33RPblVl6Zc10rnYIbmQQ3WFB30(786) 867-2087(925) 239-7761(925) 239-7761DU8REXDKV6(925) 239-7761tttt😁DU8REXDKV6
Definitely going to click that link! LOL
A sober reality, thanks for the video on this topic 👍
Sooo.... Taiwan is shit out of luck huh?
Now that, will be a sh*tstorm. The effect of that will make the oil shortage look like a mild breeze…
Russia appears spent, but don't count on it. China has the tech, the #'s just not the $.
I thought Japan had the worst demographics? So a country can figure out how to deal with it and still thrive? If so then China can still be in play to be a super power long-term (I think).
Exactly! China's demographic collapse is supposed to save our bacon. But what if it doesn't really happen?
Putin and Xi must think all their Christmases have come at once with Trump as US President.
I want to hear about the effects of AI on the demographic decline. It has the potential to upend all of these assumptions basically.
sounds like you've already reached your own conclusions about that
Thank you Peter. I appreciate the extra work you are doing for our benefit.
184 days until the midterms and the democrats sweep into power. Finally, there will be a leash put on Orange Man when Congress actually does its job.
I sure hope.
Again PZ shows his extreme hatred for Trump (TDS) by opining that trump listens to no one. (pure conjecture). Added to that he states that we went into Iran with no allies. Did he forget about the strongest nation in the middle east Israel??? Most middle east countries encourage Trump to take out the trouble maker in the area. As for the number of our bombs and rockets that we have used up, I could listen to MSNOW or CBS and get the same numbers because no one knows, not even PZ. He is guessing. NOTE; ALL EMAILS ARE DELETED UPON ARRIVAL!!!
The cope is strong in this one.
Euroasia as new superpowe, if Russia and China get smart enough and team up with the EU, Geostrategic opportunity of a Milenium. But I am afraid they are too ingrained in their old ways to grasp it.
Russia, China, and the EU all have a massive demographic crisis to deal with
Trump just ended the US as a global superpower
Bullying aliies via illegal trade policies has backfired spectacularly.
Threatening to annex Greenland didn't help either.
Our relationship with the Brits is probably worse than its been since 1783, more likely…
https://youtu.be/KyrWdwW89FU?is=db-gEYv6ScpLdsvC https://youtu.be/E9yZBdUavyM?is=Q1WKrnHSoeoK5APn