Cuba Is Running Out of Time || Feb. 13, 2026
Since the U.S. shut down Venezuelan oil exports, Cuba has been sliding towards a severe energy crisis.
Cuba is being cut off from its alternative energy suppliers too. Washington has pressured Mexico not to sell them any. China and Russia are too far or don't have the capacity. So, Cuba has already run out of aviation fuel and a prolonged energy shortage is likely. With energy collapse in motion, it could be the end for the Cuban government (which would open up a whole new can of worms).
The U.S. is nudging Cuba toward systemic collapse, but the fallout might hit Florida and domestic politics harder than expected.
Comments (30)
If jets cannot refuel in Cuba, my logistical question is… Which airlines are close enough to be able to fuel up for a round-trip without the need to refuel in Cuba?
To the extent that TrumpCo has any plan at all in this matter, I suspect that TrumpCo has some vague notion of practicing what Naomi Klein calls "disaster capitalism" on Cuba, building some more individual fortunes as mafiosi did under the previous Fulgencio Batista regime. In this case, call it salvage capitalism, Larry the Liquidator style, rather like what Jared Kushner has in mind for the Gaza Strip. Yes, there would be increased chaos, misery, and vast spillover onto Florida and the South, but every crisis can be spun for advantage, is their motto.
The large and politically active Cuban community in Florida can absolutely steer the future politics of that state. I can't imagine that they would be passive about images of starving Cubans on the island or flotillas of refugees being shelled by the Navy.
Stay in your lane peter. Both people who were shot in Minneapolis brought it on themselves by attacking law enforcement. Stop being an idiot peter: how dare you suggest we are shooting people to make a point. I am really beginning to question your intelligence and ability to be objective. I dont know much about your area, but I do know law enforcement and what is justified use of deadly force. You speak stupidly in that area: i wonder if you are equally bad in your own area. George friedman offers a much more mature analysis and stays in his lane.
Alex Pretti attacked law enforcement?
So how does this really play out? The Trump administration has shown a proclivity for not thinking very far ahead. So we cut off oil/fuel to Cuba. Eventually everything grinds to a halt, including (possibly) the Cuban military. So do the people fully rebel and oust the government? Does the Cuba military just shoot all the insurrectionists? What actually topples the Cuban government? And then what? If Trump is planning based on his non-Rubio advisors, then I would think there isn't much of a plan for what's next. If Rubio is doing the planning then maybe some thought has been made on how the US effectively takes control of Cuba? Can definitely see a Trump resort if he gets his way. But it could all change at the midterms in November.
Geez you're a Goode and Pretti whiner; figures. NOPE. FAFO and it FO-ed; no empathy/sympathy here. Let our law enforcement DO THEIR FUCKING CONSTUTUIONALLY APPONTED JOBS!
Aren't you a sweetheart!
Great! Just KEEP THEM IN CUBA; NO MORE HERE! Gee, how will the Canadians and rich bitches in general get to go party cheaply? Damn!
Gaza got the offer, said no. Greenland got the offer, said no. Cuba will get the offer. Will they say yes?
This is an opportunity for the US and the Trump administration to get some Brownie points. (Look it up if you didn't get that.) Be ready with food and infrastructure assistance. Start shipping now to Guantanamo. (Should have started earlier.) All Cuba has to do is ask. Start talking now (if they haven't already). Do NOT allow another refugee wave but use the Cuban community in FL as helpers. I was born and raised in SE Florida. One of the best things that ever happened was the first refugee wave. The Cuban community turned out to be a huge asset to the area and FL in general. The second wave was not as good as it consisted of a lot of criminals. The worst thing to do, though, would be to prop up the present regime. The US might consider offering them safe harbor, so they have an option other than slaughtering their own people. This is a sad situation for me as I really like the Cuban people. The ones here in the states are total assets to the US. Viva Cuba! Viva paz!
Carey Freeman, so, you imply the US should put all MAGA people, whatever that is, in concentration camps with ovens. Nice.
For years past, we have been there and enjoyed the island entertainment. Trump resort is in my mind.
There is no established opposition in Cuba either.
We could’ve made the current Cuban state completely dependent upon an economic relationship between ourselves in the US and Cuba via tourism, trade, and loans… We could’ve exercised our soft power and not only would it have improved our strategic position, but it would have been a positive and beneficial relationship for the Cubans… Instead, they will hate us, and we will deserve it as hundreds of thousands are going to suffer needlessly and it will be our fault… The cruelty of our government and the complicity of our people in allowing our government to do these things shows that there is a rot in our republic that is going to require a political revolution to fix.
"They hate us," is a notion historically Americans have thrown money at problems like those and succeeded. Also, consider Cuban population of 10 million vs. 4.2 million diaspora. Consider worlds most powerful cuban, Mark Cuban, is a billionaire, and 2nd most powerful Cuban is Marco Rubio, Sec. State.
Once it's gone into chaos, then regime change friendly to the US, then we will send aid, then Trump will start building beachfront hotels and resorts.
What wrong with that ? Cuba could be an excellent island resort destination, it's just run by communists and only the top party leaders are taken care of.
Having worked in air cargo, I can tell you that when an American company runs out of fuel, it will close within a week. How this plays out there, I don’t know. But here, I found out from a rival company’s pilot on the ramp right before our “emergency meeting”.
Cuba is a problem for the USA because they are hostile...WOW....if you weigh the power of hostility with simple logic I thought the clear winner was the USA
So we have "a government that kills its citizens to make their point"!! YOU ARE SICK! What would you do if someone was driving a car at you AND they have seen it before! NOT to mention you bring a loaded gun to a protest and you get in the face of police officers, sad as it may be, those two people were stupid! To many people do not take responsibility for their own actions, always point the finger at others. Sorry Peter, sometimes you ruin your content with stupid propaganda. TDS
No, Serious, MAGA is sick. Peter is stating the obvious. Blaming a woman for being shot in the face three times, and a man exercising his Second Amendment rights and being shot nine times in the back after being disarmed of his weapon. Get off your MAGA cult TDS crutch and do some critical thinking for a change.
See the satellite images. Safe Bloomberg gift link https://www.bloomberg.com/graphics/2026-cuba-oil-supply-power-grid-blackout/?accessToken=eyJhbGciOiJIUzI1NiIsInR5cCI6IkpXVCJ9.eyJzb3VyY2UiOiJTdWJzY3JpYmVyR2lmdGVkQXJ0aWNsZSIsImlhdCI6MTc3MDk4ODYzMywiZXhwIjoxNzcxNTkzNDMzLCJhcnRpY2xlSWQiOiJUQUU2SDVLSVVQVEwwMCIsImJjb25uZWN0SWQiOiI2RDFEM0I4ODFFODk0MjcyOTY2NkRDMDJBRTQwMTExQiJ9.ZIeyZ81PSLLpUQpU2qEKe97EQlFnvHunq9265gY3dpE
People are starving, no fuel, no electricity, no medicine ... the USA has become evil.
“America is not young. It is old and evil.” — William S. Burroughs
I was wondering why the Havana Syndrome investigation got dug up a few months ago, as it had been ‘debunked’ for years. Thought the US was looking for a backup pretext to end Cuba. It feels like this administration has been signalling this move for months now, and after Venezuela’s overthrow had no consequences they just thought ‘why do we even need a reason, let’s just do it.’
But Venezuela wasn’t even overthrown. They just kidnapped the puppet at the top of the regime and have the exact same thugs running the country.
Magnífico Gobernador, el Jefe Rubio will deal with this when he is given the island as his year end bonus. In the meantime, and more seriously, I would think Cuban refugees might consider someplace else for migration such as just about anywhere in Caribbean Islands, Central or South America.
Well, errrm, this requires reading which is hard, but. 1. https://www.reuters.com/business/energy/russia-deliver-crude-oil-fuel-cuba-soon-izvestia-newspaper-reports-2026-02-12/?utm_source=substack&utm_medium=email 2. https://apnews.com/article/mexico-cuba-humanitarian-aid-havana-us-sanctions-52c44db94c9423511d67366662e78ac4 I’d also add, if anyone can name the one simple Cuban leader you can forcibly remove, replace with a pliable hench(lady) that suddenly turns Cuba business friendly, I question your sources, Cuba’s institutions for La Revolution go back like 80 years at this point. I think we should just give them like 3 MLB teams and colonize them that way, if we were realllllly serious.
Thanks for the articles. But would they still need to give the ball back? 🤔