Trading Basics Supply and Demand
Hey Guys,
Let me start by saying that ALL trading is based on supply and demand!
In essence, if a card is rising in price it has more demand than supply at that time.
If a card is dropping in price, it has more supply than demand.
It makes sense, but how can we look to capitalize off this? The best opportunity to make consistent coins from this knowledge is trading into/through rewards supply!
Each week, there are multiple scheduled reward times where people open thousands of packs all at once. On Thursday, this is seen from Rivals and Weekend League Rewards. On Sunday evening (into Monday) this is seen from Squad Battle Rewards.
With all this pack supply coming onto the market at once, you can identify quite a few deals. On Thursday, it tends to be a mix of of card types, but you often see non-rare and rare golds fall in price well! Since so many people open their packs within the first 10 minutes, this leads to a great opportunity to grab cards.
One hour after they open packs is the optimal time to look for deals on open bid. A lot of people are lazy when listing and they do not check buy now. They list them at the lowest possible bid price with no buy now price. You can look to bid on cards at around 50-75% of their current buy now as a quick flip. You can also look to pick up those cards and hold them for a later time, but either way it's a great chance to buy!
We do provide specific player lists for both these reward times, but this is how we know what to look for! We tend to focus on cards used for SBC's, but this can also work for cards currently in TOTW.
Team of the Week comes out each Wednesday, so Thursday morning is the first time they are supplied heavily. With cards in-demand, you can see them drop the first few hours of rewards and rise into the afternoon! This works pretty often and is a strategy you'll see us use throughout the year on select cards!
Supply and Demand is also easy to take advantage of during promo packs/Lightning Rounds. During Lightning Rounds 100's of thousands are packs are ripped open withing a short duration and is another great opportunity to look for open bids! This time, the focus would be on rare gold cards since LR's feature rare gold packs!
We will provide "mass bidding” (guide coming) lists of cards to look for during this time. An ideal card to mass bid holds a value of a 2-4K and is on the lower rated side (75-83). This means they will be packed a lot and have a lot of bidding opportunity!
Other times cards will HEAVILY rise if they see a strong turn of demand. For example, when Summer Heat Perisic releases TOTS Davies went up over 100K within an hour. This is because it’s the best way to provide Perisic chemistry. Since he had no supply and demand was crazy, his price continued to rise.
This is one of the best and easiest ways to make coins on a low-budget! Remember, that supply and demand is the fundamentals of trading. If you understand how to trade around times of heavy supply, it can be an amazing way to make some quick coins!
This will end our Trading Basics Series and we’ll move forward with techniques!
Much love!
Jake
Comments (4)
What times (pls state time zone you use) do the rewards come out on Thursday and Sunday night?
Rewards on Thursday release at 8 AM UK and on Sunday Midnight UK
Considering rivals and champs rewards come out so early in the morning, is it a disadvantage for people in the US as we would not be up till around 3-4 hours after rewards
I live in the US, so I know this firsthand. Squad Battle Rewards is more optimal for us while Thursday rewards are better U.K.
