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July 8, 2020

Market Update/Trading at Rewards

 

Happy Hump Day! 

Summer Heat promo is still going strong with insane cards via both SBC's and objectives! It is also having a major impact on the market! 

The market is in a pretty huge downtrend for 3 main reasons - 

1. SBC's 

This is everything from Ousmane Dembele who costs around 1 million coins from scratch to the upgrade SBC's! The upgrade SBC's are also bleeding clubs dry and I'm sure many of you can relate. 

Every single gold card in the game is selling around 1K actively. 82's are minimum of 3.5K and 83's are a minimum of 6.5K. I say this to reference the insanely high market. Any SBC you have to do is costing an arm and a leg. 

It's definitely the biggest factor for people losing coins. 

2. Special Cards in Packs

With the most recent batch of special cards, some top tier cards are dropping in price and it brings the market down with them. If players like SS Marcelo/Mendy/Ribery all lose value it makes people pull them into their team. 

This is the same impact with cards like Bday Mbappe/Cancelo/RTTF Militao etc. The gap is slowly becoming smaller and many people now substitute in these cards to "save" coins! 

3. SBC's and Objectives

How many untradable cards do you have in your team? According to recent polls most people have 7+. This makes it pretty tough for particular cards to rise heavily and most are swapping in free objectives like Bruno/Mendy/Mbabu for tradables they may have used previously! 

This doesn't mean you can't trade in this market, but it does change what's optimal. SBC trading is one of the best ways to make coins currently. I've covered this method A LOT as I want to encourage people to at least get the gist of it. You can use it all year and I know it will be in next Fifa. 

Also, day trading still works just fine! I do advise being in and out of cards quicker since SBC's and objectives can bring cards down, but they work for like 5% profit. 

Times of supply is an easy effective way to make coins on any budget! This is simply because really EVERY card is in-demand right now. 

Tomorrow at rewards, bidding on same nation-same league non rares is a great way to make coins. 14 non-rares are required along with 70 chemistry for the 85-92 upgrades, so they are needed. 

SAF+Argentina

Bundesliga + Germany

Premier League + England 

Italian + Serie A 

You get the point! My favoritres are Premier League + Serie A as you'll likely see them feature in Marquee, too! 

Another approach is looking for bids on 79-81 rated cards. These are so incredibly inflated it allows for quick flips. Today, I opened some packs for fun (coins don't worry) and packed Vrsalko. I sold him for 4500 coins. I then looked at the market and picked up 2 on bid for under 3K. 

It's simply too hard to track the vast majority of cards that are up. 

All these cards are currently holding a value of 2K+ 

llorente 

Lazzari

Dias

Milivojevic

Vitolo

Kolasinic 

Corona

Gabriel

Perrin

Jony

Laguardia

Pallois

Boly

Bender 

Capoue

Pope

Hinteregger

Sakho

Christensen

Marcos Lopes

Konate

Mario

Murillo

Golovin

Fornals

Jardel

Mkhitaryan

Vecino

Marchesin

Mandi

Falque

Xhaka

Herrerin

Ekambi

Romero

Sane

Melendo

Matic

Aurier

Vaclik

Ceballos

Januzaj

Coquelin

Acuna

Raphinha

Caldara

Milner

Ismaily

Mendes

Fonte

Cragno

Quaresma

Firpo

There are so so so many I could extend this list to hundreds, but this is a select range of 79-81 rated cards and 2-3K. These are awesome for mass bidding really at any time, but particularly with supply. 

They are low enough rated to be packed A LOT. 

Lastly, at rewards you can use the logic of solution trading coupled with supply. 

When rewards come out, thousands of user list their cards on open bids or lowest buy now with intent to get coins in their account. Once they have the coins, they look to complete SBC's they may have partially completed or intended to complete. 

This works out incredibly well for traders as you plan to pick up those low listings and sell back later when supply lessens. 

The key is looking around 10% under previous daily fluctuations. For example, 87 IF Moreno fluctuates around 20-25K+ daily on PS4. At rewards, you may have open bids floating around 17-18K, which would be a nice buy! 

You SHOULD be able to get them under their previous daily lows! 

The SBC's many will look to complete tomorrow include Ousmane, Ribery and the 88+ packs. Here are some cards that are staple features in them - 

IF Parejo (88) 

IF Moreno (87) 

FFS Malen 

IF Zapata (86) 

RTTF Handanovic 

MOTM Scholow 

FFS Ikone

FUT Bday Eggstein 

IF Thiago (88) 

IF Alonso (86) 

Godin 

TOTS Kane 

IF Telles (87) 

TOTYN Eriksen

TOTYN Silva

TOTYN Tadic

TOTYN Onana

TOTYN Alisson

IF Alberto (88) 

Great ways to make coins here on all budgets! Marquee Matchups will present a similar, but smaller opportunity, too! :) 

Jake