Overnight Flips EXPLAINED
Hey Guys,
I have covered this previously and some of you may be familiar with the method, but it was time for a revamped explanation!
Overnight flipping is the process of buying cards late at night EU (1-5 AM) and selling into the afternoon when Europe wakes up! The demand naturally goes down late at night and naturally rises when they wake up!
Now, this process sounds simple, but the card selection is what's tricky as not every card works! So who do we pick and why?
First, the absolute best thing you can do is watch the initial demand on Friday. This will tell you what cards have a lot of hype and are in-demand.
A good indicator of this is if they tend to rise after Lightning Rounds or show a nice price increase from 9-10:30 UK. If they start rising, it can show demand outweighs supply. Those same cards often drop back down into the overnight time frame, but you could establish they have a lot of interest.
Another important factor to look at is the prices of overnight listings already out. For example, if Kimmich has 6 cards listed at 440K overnight it may be hard for him to exceed that prices. This almost creates a limitation of how high they can rise.
Yesterday, I noticed Kimmich had only 2 overnights around 450K and most others were 500K+. This told me he had a nice opportunity to fall within that range.
This factors is more important on PS4 than Xbox simply because Xbox has so few listings it doesn't take much to break the barrier.
I shouted Kimmich because he had dropped literally 100K in 6 hours and showed prominent signs of demand all day! Checkout this graph below to see :)
Now, let's look at Nieder for a nice low budget example on Xbox! As you can see by the graph below, he showed some pretty nice demand previously and got nearly as low as his Friday price when I shouted it on Xbox! It made it look very safe to me!
I'll be honest and let you know the last 2 TOTS have been harder to figure out for overnights. This is because demand is lower on them and they haven't been increasing in the 8-10 UK timeframe. Instead, their bottom has been closer to 1 AM UK.
We did adjust to this nicely this week and skipped the flips until late at night, but it makes it more challenging to know what cards show demand! You have to watch them live and that can be tough for a rotation of 15+ cards!
You also may notice I explicitly say sell by 4 PM UK as many people sell leading up Lightning Rounds out of fear. This is important to note. If you miss the window, most times you are better holding until after Lightning Rounds.
Today, I actually profited off of this methodology. I know people fear Lightning Rounds and panic sell leading up to it. Werner dropped 150K in 1.5 hours, so I bought a few pre-6 PM and sold a few hours into Lightning Rounds!
Quick 106K profit and if I had more coins I saw 5-10 under 1.3K!
One more thing I wanted to touch on is Davies Price Range. First off, EA was pretty cruel to not update the price range on PS4 as they definitely could have. The truth is, it was too high of a price for his card, but they shouldn't keep a card off the market for that long IMO.
This lead to the panic selling on PS4 early UK time (6 AM)! Investors panicked and started listing their cards when they saw him live on the market.
He crashed as low as 355K on PS4, which was WAY WAY WAY too low. I would've spent all my coins if I had seen it. How could you know that easily? Look below -
In-demand cards are generally around the same price on each console or PS4 is higher. PS4 is generally higher 80% of the time and he was 100K less than on Xbox at that point. He can't be that low. It's just not how it works! Haha
Now look -
If you see something like this, understand it's panic selling most often seen after a PR update, which can indicate a good buy time. It's happened 3X this year I can remember top of my head!