Radio War Nerd EP #613 — UAE, US-Iran MOU & Emerging Post-War Order, feat. Andreas Krieg + Cyrus
Guest: Andreas Krieg
Recorded: June 16, 2026
Andreas Krieg assesses the winners & mostly-losers in the aftermath of the US-Israel War on Iran, with a focus on the UAE's rude awakening.
Follow Andreas on Twitter.
Further listening:
*RWN #564 — The UAE Empire feat Andreas Krieg
*RWN #207 — Republic of Venice, Pt. 1, feat. Annibale
Music interlude by Brendon Anderegg. Check out music from his group Mountains here
Total time: 1:17:53
Direct link to this episode's mp3 here
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Buy & review John Dolan's new book, They Should Have Been Hanged: War Nerd Essays on the U.S. Civil War
Subscribe to Radio War Nerd at patreon.com/radiowarnerd
Sound production by Telescope Audio
Comments (32)
Bizarre takes from this guest… especially on Pakistan. In my opinion, he lacks the RWN je ne sais quois.
Reminder that just because the USA hates someone, it doesn’t mean they’re some kind of heroic figure.
I wonder how many Dems will try to run on “unlike Trump and Vance, we are true friends and allies of Israel.” Also Mark, speaking of Rivers Edge and dirt heads, ever do any BMX jumps at the Shells in Foster City?
I'm surprised, or maybe the reaction still is pending, that the defeat in the war against Iran didn't stir up more of a sense that American military pride had been damaged and led to a demand of re-engagement with a clear path to victory. Maybe being told we lost in Afghanistan, Iraq, Vietnam has numbed this sense in America, as well as the rise in the cost of living due to repeated foreign wars.
Fuck this guy’s 24%- why ask him when we KNOW Annibale is in his lab, bubbling beakers and test tubes, calculating the hour and the day of the next major event?
So this guy is basically the 21st century’s version of a Victorian England turkophile, right?
Dubai ain’t coming back and there is not going to be anything close to a v-shaped recovery. Which fucking tanker company is going to take their oil and gas out of the straight?
Idk what president candidate this was attacking, but years ago there was a video of them (windsurfing?) and the punchline was “whichever way the wind blows” and that’s what I thought about when they mentioned the UAE being against the deal, for the deal, etc
https://thetab.com/2026/05/29/kings-college-london-professor-accused-of-using-racial-slur-against-lebanese-academic krieg seems to be a shithead
lol people were defending him in replies to my comment so i went back and re-listened out of deference to the pedants and although he does very carefully hedge with caveats his default word choice gives the game away.
So many (I assume) American commenters in here not being able to pick an Afrikaner accent lol
I heard Australian and British accents occasionally as well though
I’m curious of the long term repercussions of this surrender on US policy. I mean, war with Iran has been a central motivating factor in the US security state. Is that simply going to disappear? This like the Bay of Pigs, but 4 orders of magnitude worse. That doesn’t bode well for Trump.
i suspect Trump becomes a scapegoat, sacrificed once it becomes clear he's no longer useful. what happens next will be interesting I'm sure
Andreas Krieg’s claim that Pakistan lacks the experience to serve as an intermediary is a strange take. Pakistan helped facilitate the U.S.-China opening in 1971, was central to both the Soviet-Afghan War and the post-9/11 Afghanistan campaign, and has spent decades managing relationships with Washington, Tehran, Beijing, Riyadh, and other regional capitals. More importantly, Pakistan brings something most mediators don’t: actual military weight. During the recent regional crisis, Pakistan reportedly deployed thousands of troops and PAF assets to support Saudi Arabia, while maintaining channels with Iran. Compare that to Qatar, whose mediation efforts during the Hamas negotiations did not prevent Israeli strikes during the 2025 conflict. Even after the UAE pressured Pakistan over repayment of billions in financial assistance and imposed restrictions affecting Pakistanis, Islamabad maintained working relationships across competing regional camps. You don’t have to like Pakistan’s policies, but claiming it lacks experience in diplomacy, conflict management, or regional mediation ignores decades of history.
ChatGPT comment…sigh…(the tell is “reportedly”; that’s how journalists write, which AI is trained on, but not how anyone else does, because it’s usually included for legal reasons).
Where is the War Nerd?
Are you deliberately trying to out an agent in the field
Why does every British analyst have an obsessive hatred of Vladimir Putin bordering on incel level stalking. "Putins Cronie" "Dirty Money"....As opposed to all of the clean money from the west in the fucking UAE
insufferable tic of the atlantic pundit class
As if Israel will even for one second negotiate in good faith and willingly leave south Lebanon. If that isn’t made a clear stipulation, withdrawal from Lebanon that’s a betrayal to the Lebanese people
Cyrus, that was Rocky 4. With Ivan Drago killing Apollo Creed, with James Brown performing his extravagant Living In America ring entrance.
always appreciate an expert interview but the white guest is being hilariously transparent about his biases; "we're now facing an even worse iran," "iran may be emboldened to act out," lol shut up and sit down inbred snow ape
There’s something insufferable about a white dude with a downtown abbey ass accent being an “expert on [brown people place]”. Kinda like that retarded “Wagner expert” they had on lol
A reason, a history, culture, having some kind of reason to support where you live. With the lack of any "social contract". Theres a real breakdown in propaganda. And not like in a casual normal always shifting way, but the roots, being lifted and inspected. Thats different.
He is literally Dr. War.
Andy War
Rundfunk Krieg Nerd!
No better guest to explain this topic. Can't wait to listen
Actually ending on a happy note for once lol, great episode guys!
An agent of perfidious Albion deriding others for duplicity is rich. The real issue is that anyone who thinks Israel doesn’t still have one hand around the U.S.’s balls and the other up its ass so far it’s working the mouth is too stupid or delusional to be worth acknowledging.
We'll find out, won't we? Israel is not the only entity trying to influence American policy. There was clearly some kind of consensus in favor of war with Iran, but now Israel is pretty much the only voice still pushing to keep the war going. If Israel had that much control over the American government, we'd have invaded Iran and probably nuked them several times over by now. It's more accurate to say that Israel *does* have the power to screw up any ceasefire deal, and that's what they're going to do unless and until the U.S. yanks hard on their leash (by cutting off military aid, for example). Which seems incredibly unlikely right now.
